Achim Zeileis

Universität Innsbruck


Thunderstorm forecasting with GAMs

Boosted binary generalized additive models (GAMs) with stability selection and corresponding MCMC-based credibility intervals are discussed in a new MWR paper as a probabilistic forecasting method for the occurrence of thunderstorms. Read more ›

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12:45, restate my assumptions:
  1. Mathematics is the language of nature.
  2. Everything around us can be represented and understood through numbers
  3. If you graph these numbers, patterns emerge.
Therefore: There are patterns everywhere in nature.
Pi (1998)